Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 62.741429 71.143799 79.783509 89.298407 99.451095 109.930143 121.533599
2025-05-18 50.023080 62.012966 74.948503 89.806100 106.271096 123.841109 143.892506
2025-05-25 41.770666 55.570008 71.016684 89.308527 110.117468 132.819760 159.233812
2025-06-01 35.954178 51.020889 68.448848 89.630871 114.252189 141.591697 173.882290
2025-06-08 30.604600 46.356327 65.175297 88.618114 116.410460 147.761029 185.278256
2025-06-15 27.338172 43.863424 64.164533 89.976594 121.069841 156.583372 199.517741
2025-06-22 24.637545 41.791101 63.426273 91.454396 125.701463 165.246362 213.477123
2025-06-29 21.344415 38.600772 61.020283 90.662900 127.435621 170.383742 223.242379
2025-07-06 17.963751 34.942213 57.736670 88.538807 127.357681 173.226997 230.199105
2025-07-13 17.019712 34.655206 58.813364 91.884394 133.947917 183.984998 246.457029
2025-07-20 15.701226 33.680801 58.871165 93.846927 138.775034 192.601041 260.171900
2025-07-27 13.716188 31.491682 57.121043 93.335876 140.418102 197.308190 269.191049
2025-08-03 11.786581 29.209444 55.130893 92.444313 141.562574 201.432186 277.578022
2025-08-10 10.499374 27.842651 54.353324 93.111163 144.654025 207.923123 288.816844
2025-08-17 9.043010 26.006691 52.766728 92.579503 146.126838 212.364748 297.538267
2025-08-24 7.954115 24.689434 51.859392 92.912436 148.672215 218.104181 307.818543
2025-08-31 6.685504 22.852804 50.039769 91.877364 149.353440 221.466804 315.160600
2025-09-07 6.045547 22.167717 49.958994 93.265065 153.215434 228.812920 327.391092
2025-09-14 5.487755 21.576428 49.983126 94.774335 157.224225 236.340812 339.852829
2025-09-21 4.582222 20.081632 48.452753 93.966006 158.075641 239.834073 347.308212
2025-09-28 3.583478 18.150286 46.064184 91.796430 157.007744 240.823047 351.610735
2025-10-05 3.491471 18.433998 47.433243 95.213457 163.566528 251.600415 368.132224
2025-10-12 3.212131 18.188151 47.866588 97.217399 168.187242 259.892525 381.564265